The Matt LaPorta Dilemma

As I was cruising the web this morning – before work, of course – I happened to stumble upon an ESPN blog post by Jason A. Churchill entitled Next Wave of Call-Ups.    Churchill, for those that don’t know, is the executive editor over at ProspectInsider.com and a regular contributor to ESPN as well.  He knows his stuff and provides some pretty fantastic insight.

Photo Courtesy of Keith Allison via Flickr.com

Anyway, the first minor leaguer he mentions in the post is Indians first baseman Matt LaPorta, who, by the way, happens to be hitting .333/.408/.658 in Columbus.  And because Cleveland’s starting first baseman, Casey Kotchman, is at the complete opposite side of the spectrum (.202/.285/.312), Churchill subtly states/implies that the team could turn to LaPorta some time soon.  But I’m not really certain that’s going to happen, at least for awhile.

Right now, the Indians have five infielders (not including catchers and DH) – Kotchman, Jason Kipnis, Asdrubal Cabrera, Jack Hannahan and Jose Lopez – and five outfielders – Michael Brantley, Shin-Soo Choo, Aaron Cunningham, Johnny Damon, and Shelley Duncan – on the roster. So if the team were to promote LaPorta, who would be the player sent down or DFA’d?

Let’s go case by case.

Kipnis, Cabrera, Hannahan, Brantley, and Choo are definitely safe. Lopez is the only backup middle/corner infielder; he’s safe.  Duncan mashes lefties – .359 wOBA this season – making him pretty invaluable with such a left-handed heavy lineup; he, too, is safe.  Now that leaves three options: Damon, Cunningham, and Kotchman.

The team definitely needs to roster a fourth outfielder, so either Damon or Cunningham has to stay.  Now, I already think the Damon signing was, well, not the smartest move.  But I want to take it a step further.

Who’s the backup center fielder?

Damon’s atrocious – and I mean ATROCIOUS – in the outfield and Duncan’s not that much better.  Choo, I suppose, could fill-in for a game or two but would be stretched at the position for any significant amount of time.  Cunningham, on the other hand, is a pretty damn good defender, at all three outfield positions actually.

So cut Damon, right?

I would.  But the team won’t; they just spent $1 million on him.  Do you think they would move past him so quickly?  Probably not.

So that leaves Kotchman, right? Well, not exactly.

First off, it’s too soon.  He has only 124 plate appearances thus far, still not enough to warrant any serious conclusions.  Secondly, he’s still owed quite a bit, – more than two million dollars, actually –if the team cut him today.  And, frankly, I don’t see the Indians forking over that type of money for a player no longer on the roster.

Finally, at least in terms of roster construction, the Indians have a 12-man pitching staff.  No team in baseball operates with anything less.  I would.  But, again, the Indians won’t.  So, there’s literally no room – at least sensibly – for LaPorta.

Hell, I’m not really sure if he warrants a promotion yet, either.

We already have a pretty solid idea about what LaPorta’s capable of; since 2010, he’s cost the team two more wins than the average minor league (replacement) player.  Maybe he’s fixed the hitch in his swing – Branch Rickey thought they were uncorrectable – I don’t know. Maybe he’s no longer a guess hitter, the type that goes up to the plate looking for a specific pitch, but looks completely fooled by anything else.  Again, I don’t know.

But he’s now 27-years-old and smashing the hell out of Triple-A pitching.  Well, guess what. Old minor leaguers tend to do that in the land of Quad-A players.

Basically, I’m saying two things:

  • He doesn’t fit on the current roster
  • And I’m not convinced he’s improved at all

Now this doesn’t mean the Indians won’t risk losing Cunningham to waivers in order to promote him.  I suppose they could convince themselves that Damon could fill in at center when needed.  It could happen.  It would be stupid.  But it could happen.

I guess there’s no other way to say it: Matt LaPorta just doesn’t have a place on this team.

 

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More Analysis:

For attempted humor, snarky comments, and baseball updates follow the site on Twitter, @ReleasePoints.

Or if you're at work or just looking to kill more time check out the site's homepage here or the Archives tab here.

Comments

  1. kjam206 says:

    This column draws a retarded conclusion — we need a backup center fielder more than a right-handed power bat at first. If Kotchman is still around .200 by June, they will make room.

    • I’ve hedged on approving this comment for a while now, something like a day or two. There are better ways of making a point without showing this type of particular ignorance, or in this case an ignorant word. There’s no need for that and I’m far from the most PC guy around too. Disagree with the idea I’ve presented? Fine. Just articulate it in a better way.

      With that being said, LaPorta has cost the team nearly two wins more than the average replacement player since 2010. His track record more than speaks for itself, I believe. Looking at Kotchman’s 2008 and 2009 seasons, and that’s a solid measure of his true talent, about a one win player over the course of a full season. His 2010 and 2011 were highly impacted by luck; the former by bad luck and latter by good.

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